15%
of Americans ages 18–34 trust the federal government — down from 30% in 2022. Across all adults, trust in social service agencies dropped 5 points in three years.
"By the time they walk in, they've already been let down by something that looks just like us."
The decline isn't isolated to politics. The Partnership for Public Service tracks it across institutions; the AAMC Center for Health Justice tracks it across pharmacies, hospitals, and social service agencies. Participants don't arrive neutral. They arrive carrying every prior intake form, every "we'll get back to you," every system that asked them to start over. The frontline conversation begins inside that gap — whether the worker knows it or not.
Sources: Partnership for Public Service, State of Public Trust in Government 2024; AAMC Center for Health Justice, Trust Trends 2021–2024.
20–40%
annual turnover among public child welfare caseworkers. Median tenure: under two years. Optimal turnover in health and human services: 12%.
"The person at the desk wanted to help. They also have twenty-eight other people waiting."
The federal GAO documented it in 2003. The Administration for Children and Families confirmed it again in the 2021–2022 NSCAW III workforce study. Edwards & Wildeman's 49-jurisdiction NCANDS analysis put the median frontline turnover at 22%, with state-level rates running as high as 36%. The cost isn't just hiring — it's the relationship that resets every time a family meets a new caseworker. Frontline workers don't leave because they stopped caring. They leave because caring inside the current system is unsustainable.
Sources: U.S. GAO, Child Welfare: HHS Could Play a Greater Role (GAO-03-357); Administration for Children and Families, NSCAW III Workforce Study 2021–2022; Edwards & Wildeman, NCANDS 49-jurisdiction analysis (2018).
39%
of people released from state prison return within three years. Federal cost per incarcerated person: $39,158 a year. The trust gap doesn't just hurt — it bills.
"What the system spent getting them here is more than what it would have cost to actually reach them."
The Bureau of Justice Statistics' most recent five-year tracking study put the three-year return-to-prison rate at 39% and the five-year rate at roughly half. The Federal Bureau of Prisons reported the average annual cost per federal inmate at $39,158 in FY 2020. Every moment a participant doesn't trust enough to engage is a moment the system pays for later.
Sources: Bureau of Justice Statistics, Recidivism of Prisoners Released in 34 States in 2012 (July 2021); Federal Bureau of Prisons FY 2020 cost report; Council on Criminal Justice, National Recidivism Report.